See some pithy wisdom from Nassim Taleb at http://www.corporatecrimereporter.com/taleb010311.htm
He is mostly misunderstood because appreciating him requires a paradigm shift. Didn't help that powerful people erroneously think they can adapt his ideas to their ends without destroying it. Malcolm Gladwell with his simpler ideas in the. "Tipping Point" suggested how tipping points cannot be predicted to no avail. An industry grew up around how to forecast or create "Tipping Points"
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