Sunday, April 30, 2017

Wrong about North Korea fears


I was wrong about North Korea missile testing. I had speculated that previously they purposely failed their test in order to avoid an American attack. I risked it because that would be the least worst scenario leading likely to a peaceful resolution. The latest failed missile launch tells me I ought to change my mind.

When I consider something to be 50/50 based on the information I have, the more positive  or less worse outcome would be my bet. Then if the facts proved that I am wrong, I change my mind.

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