To track some personally noteworthy events, observations and thoughts, letting them age and savor/regret them again a long time later.
Sunday, April 30, 2017
Wrong about North Korea fears
I was wrong about North Korea missile testing. I had speculated that previously they purposely failed their test in order to avoid an American attack. I risked it because that would be the least worst scenario leading likely to a peaceful resolution. The latest failed missile launch tells me I ought to change my mind.
When I consider something to be 50/50 based on the information I have, the more positive or less worse outcome would be my bet. Then if the facts proved that I am wrong, I change my mind.
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