If Kim launches a test ICBM shortly after Trump becomes president, my guess is that Trump would tweet blaming China for failing to control the North Koreans. The American public have no idea what China have been doing with North Korea and Trump would take advantage of that. He loves to demonize China hoping to achieve greater negotiating leverage, which is a mistake because diplomacy is different from business negotiation.
Well, we shall see. As for conviction, I do not yet have money on this one.
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