Thursday, March 31, 2016

On China: Kausikan's candor

I didn't like him at first but now I am getting to appreciate him: Bilahari Kausikan. He says it as he sees it. Quite undiplomatic for a diplomat but is also reminded me of S Rajaratnam's forthrightness.

Even the NYT has taken to quoting from his sharing at the IPS.

Like Goujian which I used to blog about probably years back about the Chinese, the weak and strong Goujan are quite different characters.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Yuan Research Centre: NTU 1, NUS 0


That is what happened when you are better in the Chinese Language, that you have trained countless PRC government leaders. The Yuan research centre will be in NTU and not NUS. I can feel the rapidly increasing importance of CL. It is a world of difference when China move from the primary seller to become the primary customer. As a seller she speaks your language to make the sale. As a customer you have to speak their language to get them to buy from you.

They are going to publish in CL or at least in bilingual.

A surprising box in the mail

I was flabbergasted to open the letter box to see a box occupying 90% of the space. The box was very light as it was I discovered later made from Styrofoam. And what was it trying to protect? A protective piece of tempered glass for my Yoga tablet! I have ordered so many screen protectors before and this is the first time I see it packaged this way.

Terrible lift maintenance


This is a totally unacceptable level of life maintenance. We have been too complacent. I hope we are not waiting to be as screwed up as the Chinese before we fix this everywhere because the Chinese use the same technology as us. In fact they are the same all over the world.

Monday, March 28, 2016

Post MNC Singapore economy


I said to myself, "A top down approach" But that is exactly what we do when the government is very serious about something, wanting to minimize the risk of failure and make it successful. They are finally rolling up their sleeves, very interventionist to transform industries. Unstated is that we can no longer count on the erstwhile MNC development model. For the young it also means the best opportunities are no longer with the large foreign MNCs. Tomorrow is certainly not MNC extrapolated. Less management and more leadership going forward.

 Workers better be prepared for wrenching change. Leaders better figure out and successfully persuade them to come along.

Sunday, March 27, 2016

SG future according to LKY


I recalled LKY response to what Singapore would be like in the next 50 years? He said with enthusiasm that it would be much better. Meanwhile Han Fook Kwang retrieved his notes interviewing the late LKY on this subject and I want to reproduce it in full here for reference and thought.

How confident are you that Singapore will survive you?

Mr Lee All I can say is I think Singapore is safe for 10 years. No trouble because there's a team in place that will handle it. Whether it will be 15, 20, 30 years depends on them getting a team of players very soon. Part of the team is in place but you need a leader man. You need somebody who can communicate, who can mobilise people, move people. It's not enough to have a good policy. You got to convince people.

What about beyond 10 years?

Mr Lee I think there will come a time when eventually the public will say, look, let's try the other side, either because the PAP has declined in quality or the opposition has put up a team which is equal to the PAP and they say, let's try the other side. It must come.

How will it happen?

Mr Lee It depends on when it happens and whether it happens all of a sudden or it happens gradually. If the decline in standards happens gradually, an opposition will emerge of quality. I mean, the public can sense it.

I think the more likely is a gradual evolution because it is most unlikely the way we have evolved the party and the renewal of the party leadership that you will get such a clash of opinions that it will divide the whole leadership, the MPs and the party machinery into two, or into one major part, one minor part.

What will happen if it takes place suddenly?

Mr Lee If it is sudden, well, you're landed with an emergency. In that emergency I think the people will just take somebody like me and a few of those friends and say look, let's make a bid and stop this from going down the drain.

What could possibly make it happen suddenly?

Mr Lee You have a rumpus in the leadership. They disagree profoundly, either for reasons of principle or personality and suddenly it breaks up... I cannot tell you what's going to be in maybe 20, 30, 40 years, not possible. We might have a genuine difference of perspective what the future should be, what kind of Singapore will survive and thrive in that future. We might have a clash. I don't know. I've lived long enough to know that nobody settles the future of his country beyond more than a decade or so of his life. Stalin grabbed the whole of eastern part of Europe, grabbed all the Asian republics right up to Siberia, took Outer Mongolia which belonged to China under his wing. That's 1945. He's dead. 1950s or -something, Khrushchev came up. 1992, it dissolved - less than 40 years. They threw up a Gorbachev who never went through a revolution, who did not know that he was sitting on a boiling cauldron.

So there's nothing that can be done to prepare us for that eventuality?

Mr Lee Can anybody tell you how to prevent, from getting a stroke or an accident? That you will eventually die is a certainty, right? But how you will die, nobody can tell you.

What is your greatest fear for Singapore?

Mr Lee I think a leadership and a people that has forgotten, that has lost its bearings and do not understand the constraints that we face. Small base, highly, technically, organised, very competent people, complete international confidence, an ability to engage the big boys. You lose that, you're down. And you can go down very rapidly...

No system lasts forever, that's for sure. Ten years, I don't think it'll happen; 20 years, I can't say; 30 years, even more I cannot tell you. Will we always be able to get the most dedicated and the most capable, with integrity to devote their lives to this? I hope so but forever, I don't know.


As I re-read these extracts now, he seemed more tentative and ambivalent about Singapore's future than I had ever heard him.

Saturday, March 26, 2016

The 'Essence of Religion'


As a government your priority is to get every race and religion to get along. Most governments would love the Pope's stance on this. It take courage for Pope Francis to hold on to these values because the most vocal adherents of any religion tend to be exclusive and even hold a low opinion of any other religion except their own.

Christians should just like the Apostle Paul hold firmly to the birth, life, death and resurrection of Jesus and keep an open mind to welcome others whatever form they come in.

Here is a good example of a Christian missionary in action on the streets of Chicago. Time did a story of him back in 2002 which I only come across today (March 30)

Christians and any religion should learn that they do not need to be insecure about their faith.