The woeful inexperience of the Chinese in financial markets is showing.
My ex boss rued that they are like a giant learning to walk and when it falls threatened to break or trample on us. What an apt description.
Better get your act together or risk losing the premium you have enjoyed. Watch and learn how Draghi and Bernanke played the confidence game. Unfortunately the Chinese mindset of using raw power over shrewd cajoling and threats means they are wearing the wrong clothes to the party!
China is forever faced with this conundrum of using Chinese or International approaches to solve every problem. This time it shows they don't know what they were doing.
To track some personally noteworthy events, observations and thoughts, letting them age and savor/regret them again a long time later.
Friday, January 8, 2016
Thursday, January 7, 2016
Business: Heads I win; Tails you lose
Their proposal basically creates a situation which they enjoy all the upside with no downside which the people will have to carry. If the government is stupid to agree to these proposals they will bear the political cost at some point. Dealing with business is not about trust but leverage often in a combination of carrot and stick. They never cared for Singapore, only their short term interests. If they ran out of luck they will come crying for help. If you tell them to restructure they threaten to decamp to another country or more likely roll over and die. There are exceptions but they are the minority. Most of them are SMEs who are in business beyond the profit motive. No listed company is in this category and Alan Chan from SPH was stupid enough to allow his name to be used in the story. Imagine had SMRT been a non-listed entity, it would have paid more attention to maintenance, but it was run for profit maximization and the short term. They were right to assume that the buck would stops with the government when push come to shove. Tax payers will assume the tab to restore the system after management and shareholders have gutted it.
Just as we cannot have government like elsewhere, we cannot allow business here to be like everywhere else too. It will work against our interests for long term growth and survival. This comes across as idealistic and impractical but sadly we do not have a choice if we want to secure our future. In other words in many companies we have placed the wrong people at the top.
Update: Jan 8 9:55am
I just read BT on this debate. I happen to be reading Vox before I decided to update this post.
Quoting Vox because they made it so clear,
The Chinese political system is full of political and economic elites who have a vested interest in keeping the status quo and not changing the economy. For example, China's energy sector is dominated by three major oligopolies, which have used their political connections to block reforms designed to introduce competition (and thus fuel growth) in the field.
Now comparing with what BT printed, quoting them,
Esmond Choo, a senior director at broker UOB Kay Hian, said that the SBF recommendations are timely as Singapore Exchange (SGX) has been under pressure from regional competitors for years. The proposal to use pension monies to invest locally will professionalise retirement investing and strengthen local fund management capabilities, he said.
I hope lots of readers realize Mr. Choo was just talking his own book for his own narrow business interest. Fortunately BT always better than ST reporting on such issues sought the opinion of many more fair minded experts.
Similarly, David Gerald, president and CEO of investor lobby group Securities Investors Association of Singapore (Sias), said that GIC should not be restricted to only local markets when investing CPF monies. CPF members will want good returns, and GIC will naturally want to diversify, he said. "Let them go for local investments that match overseas investments' returns," Mr Gerald added
Come on when anyone wants you to do something good for him but not you they never tell you the real reason. This is as old as Adam and Eve when the Serpent sold Eve the idea of eating that forbidden fruit with half true promises. The problem is not blatant and obvious lies. It is always the partly true that is the problem. Buy Esmond Choo and the CEOs argument to your peril. Remember CEOs are generously rewarded when the stock price is high. When we have only ordinary people in charge, structure always breed behavior.
Hard disc from the safe deposit box
Retrieved this from the safe deposit box today and replaced it with the most updated collection of the photos we have taken - A 400 GB hard disc with 180 GB of photos.
It was so long ago, I can't remember when I left this at the box. The file date stamp pointed to 2007. So it has been eight years since we open the box. This hard disc capacity is only 40 GB! I am using micro SD cards that are 64 GB.
Finally COE prices will trend down faster
There is nothing to be surprised about, rather it is a signal from buyers of what is coming keeping in view of the darkening external economic and security environment. If China catches a cold the whole of Asia gets pneumonia.
The most important feature is until the final minutes to tender closing the highest bid was $22,000. I expect volatility and the general trend to be downward going forward.
The bottom opens up
You know the year wouldn't open well but you always have to see it happen to fully appreciate it. I saw the sign now on the fourth trading day of the year. The bottom has opened up and it is too dark to see except to experience the fall.
My friends and I are thankful for our dry powder. As usual it will not be easy to act against the crowd. Always not bold enough.
My friends and I are thankful for our dry powder. As usual it will not be easy to act against the crowd. Always not bold enough.
Sunday, January 3, 2016
Finally Bluetooth adapter works
I bought a USB Bluetooth adapter two years ago for USD 1.89 but couldn't get it to work. It ended up at the end of the drawer until I saw it again yesterday when I had to look for an old hard disc.
I gave it another try this morning and it worked! The difference? A different bluetooth headset. But it wasn't easy to set it up and I got it right only by trial and error. It is also Bluetooth version 2 and not 4 which is what we have on our phones and tablets now.
I gave it another try this morning and it worked! The difference? A different bluetooth headset. But it wasn't easy to set it up and I got it right only by trial and error. It is also Bluetooth version 2 and not 4 which is what we have on our phones and tablets now.
Friday, January 1, 2016
Visiting President Wee on New Year's Day
We begun last year with visiting my in-laws and mom niches at the Mandai Columbarium. We have done the same this year. We also dropped by after Qing Ming for obvious reasons. We have been back at least twice every year for more than ten years.
Ten years ago, we visited President Wee's niche. We paid him our respect again this afternoon. I am impressed he still have fresh flowers (the yellow orchid).
The daughter also spotted his late parents' and other relatives niches nearby.
That is President Wee's parents.
And a photo I took of the President's niche seven months after he passed away. Then he had only fresh flowers.
Update: Jan 5 9:45pm
Kept this pic in my Dropbox for so long. This is the place to keep it permanently.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)







